ABSTRACT
This study is geared at fitting a time series
model for forecasting the Nigerian non-oil export products using the Box and
Jenkins time series method. The time series model class is the Auto regressive
integrated moving average (ARIMA) class of model. The data collected for this
project is made of the monthly value of the Nigeria non-oil export from January
2008 to December 2012. According to the Box-Jenkins model building methods, the
data undergo an empirical driven methodology of systematically identifying,
estimating, diagnosing, and forecasting the time series. The time series
analysis result shows the plot of the trend, ACF's PACF's of the data collected
the model generated from the Nigerian non-oil export data shows that an ARIMA
(1, I, 0) is an adequate model and the residuals of the model for diagnostic
supported the claim. Finally the end of forecast was also minimal of about 0.
03 which also suggests that the model is adequate.
INEGBU, I (2025). Time Series Analysis On Non-Oil Exports In Nigeria (2008- 2012) :- Inegbu Eziokwu I. Repository.mouau.edu.ng: Retrieved Mar 31, 2025, from https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-on-non-oil-exports-in-nigeria-2008-2012-inegbu-eziokwu-i-7-2
IKENNA, INEGBU. "Time Series Analysis On Non-Oil Exports In Nigeria (2008- 2012) :- Inegbu Eziokwu I" Repository.mouau.edu.ng. Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 21 Mar. 2025, https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-on-non-oil-exports-in-nigeria-2008-2012-inegbu-eziokwu-i-7-2. Accessed 31 Mar. 2025.
IKENNA, INEGBU. "Time Series Analysis On Non-Oil Exports In Nigeria (2008- 2012) :- Inegbu Eziokwu I". Repository.mouau.edu.ng, Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 21 Mar. 2025. Web. 31 Mar. 2025. < https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-on-non-oil-exports-in-nigeria-2008-2012-inegbu-eziokwu-i-7-2 >.
IKENNA, INEGBU. "Time Series Analysis On Non-Oil Exports In Nigeria (2008- 2012) :- Inegbu Eziokwu I" Repository.mouau.edu.ng (2025). Accessed 31 Mar. 2025. https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-on-non-oil-exports-in-nigeria-2008-2012-inegbu-eziokwu-i-7-2