Time Series Analysis Of Reported Cases Of Diabetes Mellitus In Abia State: A Case Study Of Abia State University Teaching Hospital, Aba.
ABSTRACT
Millions of people worldwide suffer from
diabetes mellitus. Cases of incidence of diabetes mellitus have been reported
in the Abia State University Teaching University Hospital Aba. Though enough
statistical information was not reported. Thus, created a gap in knowledge.
This work involves developing a stationary time series model suitable for
diabetes mellitus in the hospital. The data for this work were secondary data
collected from records department health information management, ABSUTH. Box
and Jenkins time series was used for the analysis. Analysis of diabetes data
showed that diabetes had decreasing trend in the hospital. Autocorrelation
function and partial autocorrelation function were used to identify a tentative
model for the data. The tentative model was ARMA (1 1). The model was estimated
using MINITAB. Diagnostics checking for adequacy of the model revealed that the
residuals were white noise. The model was adequate. Forcast was done for a
period of 24 months. The forcast included a year back forcast for year 2010 and
one year forcast for year 2011.
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--. "Time Series Analysis Of Reported Cases Of Diabetes Mellitus In Abia State: A Case Study Of Abia State University Teaching Hospital, Aba." Repository.mouau.edu.ng (2021). Accessed 22 Nov. 2024. https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-of-reported-cases-of-diabetes-mellitus-in-abia-state-a-case-study-of-abia-state-university-teaching-hospital-aba-7-2