Time Series Analysis Of Quarterly Recorded Cases. Of Treated Hiv/ Aids Infected Patients In Upth, Rivers State. :- Oriala Ezekiel

ORIALA EZEKIEL | Projects

ABSTRACT

This research work intended to construct a mathematical model 1 .. which could be used to forecast the future values of treated cases of HIV/ AIDS infected patients- in the University of Port-Harcourt Teaching Hospital (UPTH). To achieve the aforementioned objective, quarterly data collected from the University of Port-Harcourt ' Teaching Hospital from 2005 - 2009 were subjected to statistical i analysis. The results of all the tests carried out in this work showed j that the data were normally distributed, have constant variance ~ . ~ i and were not completely random. The plots of autocorrelation and j aria autocorrelation were used to analyse the data and it was I observed that they were stationary at ARIMA (1,0,0) which is the { adequate model. Finally, conclusions were drawn based on the ,l ~ 1 results of the study and the adequate model used to predict for ~ 4 1 future values was assessed using summary statistics like MSE. Also, recommendations were offered

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APA

ORIALA, E (2025). Time Series Analysis Of Quarterly Recorded Cases. Of Treated Hiv/ Aids Infected Patients In Upth, Rivers State. :- Oriala Ezekiel . Repository.mouau.edu.ng: Retrieved Mar 31, 2025, from https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-of-quarterly-recorded-cases-of-treated-hiv-aids-infected-patients-in-upth-rivers-state-oriala-ezekiel-7-2

MLA 8th

EZEKIEL, ORIALA. "Time Series Analysis Of Quarterly Recorded Cases. Of Treated Hiv/ Aids Infected Patients In Upth, Rivers State. :- Oriala Ezekiel " Repository.mouau.edu.ng. Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 21 Mar. 2025, https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-of-quarterly-recorded-cases-of-treated-hiv-aids-infected-patients-in-upth-rivers-state-oriala-ezekiel-7-2. Accessed 31 Mar. 2025.

MLA7

EZEKIEL, ORIALA. "Time Series Analysis Of Quarterly Recorded Cases. Of Treated Hiv/ Aids Infected Patients In Upth, Rivers State. :- Oriala Ezekiel ". Repository.mouau.edu.ng, Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 21 Mar. 2025. Web. 31 Mar. 2025. < https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-of-quarterly-recorded-cases-of-treated-hiv-aids-infected-patients-in-upth-rivers-state-oriala-ezekiel-7-2 >.

Chicago

EZEKIEL, ORIALA. "Time Series Analysis Of Quarterly Recorded Cases. Of Treated Hiv/ Aids Infected Patients In Upth, Rivers State. :- Oriala Ezekiel " Repository.mouau.edu.ng (2025). Accessed 31 Mar. 2025. https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-of-quarterly-recorded-cases-of-treated-hiv-aids-infected-patients-in-upth-rivers-state-oriala-ezekiel-7-2

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