Time Series Analysis Of Quarterly Recorded Cases. Of Treated Hiv/ Aids Infected Patients In Upth, Rivers State. :- Oriala Ezekiel
ABSTRACT
This research work intended to
construct a mathematical model 1 .. which could be used to forecast the future
values of treated cases of HIV/ AIDS infected patients- in the University
of Port-Harcourt Teaching Hospital (UPTH). To achieve the aforementioned
objective, quarterly data collected from the University of Port-Harcourt '
Teaching Hospital from 2005 - 2009 were subjected to statistical i analysis.
The results of all the tests carried out in this work showed j that the data
were normally distributed, have constant variance ~ . ~ i and were not
completely random. The plots of autocorrelation and j aria autocorrelation were
used to analyse the data and it was I observed that they were stationary at
ARIMA (1,0,0) which is the { adequate model. Finally, conclusions were drawn
based on the ,l ~ 1 results of the study and the adequate model used to predict
for ~ 4 1 future values was assessed using summary statistics like MSE. Also,
recommendations were offered
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ORIALA, E (2025). Time Series Analysis Of Quarterly Recorded Cases. Of Treated Hiv/ Aids Infected Patients In Upth, Rivers State. :- Oriala Ezekiel . Repository.mouau.edu.ng: Retrieved Apr 21, 2025, from https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-of-quarterly-recorded-cases-of-treated-hiv-aids-infected-patients-in-upth-rivers-state-oriala-ezekiel-7-2
EZEKIEL, ORIALA. "Time Series Analysis Of Quarterly Recorded Cases. Of Treated Hiv/ Aids Infected Patients In Upth, Rivers State. :- Oriala Ezekiel " Repository.mouau.edu.ng. Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 21 Mar. 2025, https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-of-quarterly-recorded-cases-of-treated-hiv-aids-infected-patients-in-upth-rivers-state-oriala-ezekiel-7-2. Accessed 21 Apr. 2025.
EZEKIEL, ORIALA. "Time Series Analysis Of Quarterly Recorded Cases. Of Treated Hiv/ Aids Infected Patients In Upth, Rivers State. :- Oriala Ezekiel ". Repository.mouau.edu.ng, Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 21 Mar. 2025. Web. 21 Apr. 2025. < https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-of-quarterly-recorded-cases-of-treated-hiv-aids-infected-patients-in-upth-rivers-state-oriala-ezekiel-7-2 >.
EZEKIEL, ORIALA. "Time Series Analysis Of Quarterly Recorded Cases. Of Treated Hiv/ Aids Infected Patients In Upth, Rivers State. :- Oriala Ezekiel " Repository.mouau.edu.ng (2025). Accessed 21 Apr. 2025. https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-of-quarterly-recorded-cases-of-treated-hiv-aids-infected-patients-in-upth-rivers-state-oriala-ezekiel-7-2