Analysis Of Treated Cases Of Malaria (2007- 2014) Using Box - Jenkins Approach To Time Series Analysis.
ABSTRACT
This research work seeks to analyze Treated
Cases of Malaria using Box-Jenkins Methodology. Monthly time series data on
Treated Cases of Malaria covering the period January 2007 to December 2014
obtained from the medical record unit of General Hospital Owerri were used to
fit the model. The time plot of the observed data showed that Treated Cases of
Malaria is not stationary. This resulted to first order differencing to attain
stationarity and remove trend. Seasonal ARIMA (3,1,3)(0,0,1 ) 12 was fitted to
the Treated Cases of Malaria data,following careful examination of the
Autocorrelation Function (ACF) and Partial Autocorrelation Function (PACF) of
the series. It was observed that the ACF and PACF of the residuals from the
fitted model have properties of a white noise process, indicating that the
model has been properly identified. Twelve months forecast was made using the
model.
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OKPA, U (2022). Analysis Of Treated Cases Of Malaria (2007- 2014) Using Box - Jenkins Approach To Time Series Analysis.. Repository.mouau.edu.ng: Retrieved Apr 27, 2024, from https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/analysis-of-treated-cases-of-malaria-2007-2014-using-box-jenkins-approach-to-time-series-analysis-7-2
UCHENDU, OKPA. "Analysis Of Treated Cases Of Malaria (2007- 2014) Using Box - Jenkins Approach To Time Series Analysis." Repository.mouau.edu.ng. Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 05 Dec. 2022, https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/analysis-of-treated-cases-of-malaria-2007-2014-using-box-jenkins-approach-to-time-series-analysis-7-2. Accessed 27 Apr. 2024.
UCHENDU, OKPA. "Analysis Of Treated Cases Of Malaria (2007- 2014) Using Box - Jenkins Approach To Time Series Analysis.". Repository.mouau.edu.ng, Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 05 Dec. 2022. Web. 27 Apr. 2024. < https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/analysis-of-treated-cases-of-malaria-2007-2014-using-box-jenkins-approach-to-time-series-analysis-7-2 >.
UCHENDU, OKPA. "Analysis Of Treated Cases Of Malaria (2007- 2014) Using Box - Jenkins Approach To Time Series Analysis." Repository.mouau.edu.ng (2022). Accessed 27 Apr. 2024. https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/analysis-of-treated-cases-of-malaria-2007-2014-using-box-jenkins-approach-to-time-series-analysis-7-2