A Time Series Analysis Of Birth Rate (A Case Study Of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia, Abia State)
ABSTRACT
The principal aim of this work is
to arrive at a mathematical model that can be used to forecast dependable future
level of births in the state and also to evaluate the birth data to see if they
are normally distributed and have a constant variance. The survey covers all
the registered births at federal medical centre, umuahia, Abia state between
January 2003 to December 2007. To attain stationary, operations such as auto
correlation, partial auto correlation and differencing were conducted. The
result of the analysis showed that; On
monthly average, the birth rate of Abia state within the period under
consideration is 34 with a standard deviation of 11.73 Stationary was attained by differencing
transformation at lag 1 Consequent upon the result, I prefer these
recommendations. Health administrators and health organisations should pay more
attention to the state by mobilizing more resources to enlighten the general
public on the dangers of over-population and also data should be collected from
other hospitals in the state so as to be able to compare the results gotten
from their analysis for further and better explainable and understandable
results. Adequate birth control measures should be adopted to minimize and
monitor the population.
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NWACHUKWU, P (2021). A Time Series Analysis Of Birth Rate (A Case Study Of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia, Abia State). Repository.mouau.edu.ng: Retrieved Nov 23, 2024, from https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/a-time-series-analysis-of-birth-rate-a-case-study-of-federal-medical-centre-umuahia-abia-state-7-2
PAUL, NWACHUKWU. "A Time Series Analysis Of Birth Rate (A Case Study Of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia, Abia State)" Repository.mouau.edu.ng. Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 05 Aug. 2021, https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/a-time-series-analysis-of-birth-rate-a-case-study-of-federal-medical-centre-umuahia-abia-state-7-2. Accessed 23 Nov. 2024.
PAUL, NWACHUKWU. "A Time Series Analysis Of Birth Rate (A Case Study Of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia, Abia State)". Repository.mouau.edu.ng, Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 05 Aug. 2021. Web. 23 Nov. 2024. < https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/a-time-series-analysis-of-birth-rate-a-case-study-of-federal-medical-centre-umuahia-abia-state-7-2 >.
PAUL, NWACHUKWU. "A Time Series Analysis Of Birth Rate (A Case Study Of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia, Abia State)" Repository.mouau.edu.ng (2021). Accessed 23 Nov. 2024. https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/a-time-series-analysis-of-birth-rate-a-case-study-of-federal-medical-centre-umuahia-abia-state-7-2