Time Series Analysis On Deaths Being Reported As A Result Of Hiv/Aids Infection (A Case Study Of Federal Medical Center Umuahia):- Eme Mba

Abstract

The pandemic HIV/AIDS is perhaps the most serious plague of our time and has being a public health hazard in the country which has consequently resulted m many deaths, thus has become a concern and requires critical analysis which has motivated me to embark on such a research work. This study is essentially based on the time series analysis on deaths being reported as result of HIV/AIDS infection in Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia from 2004-2011. Many of us are aware of the increase mortality rate in the country which this pandemic on its own has directly or directly contributed to it, therefore the major purpose ofthis work is to construct a mathematical model which could be used to predict or forecast a reliable and dependable future deaths that will occur in the Medical Centre and proffer suggestion that will help them to tackle this health wise thereby reducing the ugly trend