Time Series Analysis On The Monthly Incidence Of Diabetes Mellitus In Abia State, Nigeria: A Case Study Of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia (2003-- 2012) •

MERCY OZIOMA | 46 pages (7784 words) | Projects
Statistics | Co Authors: OGBONNA

ABSTRACT

This research workconsidered the Monthly Incidence of Diabetes Mcllitus in Abia State, Nigeria using Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia as a case study. The ultimate objectiveof the study is to construct an appropriate time series model which can be used to provide a reliable forecast for the future. In order to meet the aforementioned objectives of the study, the Monthly Incidence of Diabetes Mcllitus (2003-2012) collected from the male and female units of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia was subjected to statistical analysis. The appropriate model for Diabetes mellitus was achieved using the Box - Jenkins Approach (ARIMA) with the Auto Correlation Function and Partial Auto-Correlation Function tools. The time plot of the original data showed no seasonal variation and trend -pattern, thus the series was confirmed to be stationary. The ACF and PACF cuts at lag one respectively, thus the model fitted was ARIMA (1,0,1). No pattern was left after the plot of the ACF and PACF of the residual from the model.Consequently, the monthly incidence of diabetes mellitus was forecasted for one year and six months. This showed that the model fitted was adequate.

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APA

MERCY, O (2022). Time Series Analysis On The Monthly Incidence Of Diabetes Mellitus In Abia State, Nigeria: A Case Study Of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia (2003-- 2012) •. Repository.mouau.edu.ng: Retrieved Jan 26, 2023, from https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-on-the-monthly-incidence-of-diabetes-mellitus-in-abia-state-nigeria-a-case-study-of-federal-medical-centre-umuahia-2003-2012-7-2

MLA 8th

OZIOMA, MERCY. "Time Series Analysis On The Monthly Incidence Of Diabetes Mellitus In Abia State, Nigeria: A Case Study Of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia (2003-- 2012) •" Repository.mouau.edu.ng. Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 23 Nov. 2022, https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-on-the-monthly-incidence-of-diabetes-mellitus-in-abia-state-nigeria-a-case-study-of-federal-medical-centre-umuahia-2003-2012-7-2. Accessed 26 Jan. 2023.

MLA7

OZIOMA, MERCY. "Time Series Analysis On The Monthly Incidence Of Diabetes Mellitus In Abia State, Nigeria: A Case Study Of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia (2003-- 2012) •". Repository.mouau.edu.ng, Repository.mouau.edu.ng, 23 Nov. 2022. Web. 26 Jan. 2023. < https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-on-the-monthly-incidence-of-diabetes-mellitus-in-abia-state-nigeria-a-case-study-of-federal-medical-centre-umuahia-2003-2012-7-2 >.

Chicago

OZIOMA, MERCY. "Time Series Analysis On The Monthly Incidence Of Diabetes Mellitus In Abia State, Nigeria: A Case Study Of Federal Medical Centre, Umuahia (2003-- 2012) •" Repository.mouau.edu.ng (2022). Accessed 26 Jan. 2023. https://repository.mouau.edu.ng/work/view/time-series-analysis-on-the-monthly-incidence-of-diabetes-mellitus-in-abia-state-nigeria-a-case-study-of-federal-medical-centre-umuahia-2003-2012-7-2

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